Economy/Ecommerce

How Trade Wars Affect CRE, the Economy

How do trade policies affect the real estate industry? Economist Hugh Kelly surveys lessons from economic history and looks ahead to the likely impacts.

Economic View: Why You Should Watch the Yield Curve

Some key economic indicators show continued strength, but there is more to the story. Trends in the yield curve appear to presage leaner times ahead, advises Hugh Kelly, the veteran real estate economist and CPE columnist.

In the Next Downturn, Public Markets Will Be CRE Investors’ Best Bet

Those expecting to hunt for discounts during the next down cycle should get up to speed now on REITs, contends Dr. Peter Linemann.

CRE Investors: Proceed With Caution

Early economic indicators point to a slowdown in growth in 2019. Nevertheless, as the U.S. enters its 10th year of expansion, optimism among commercial real estate investors persists, according to economist George Ratiu.

2018 New Orders

The value of manufacturers’ new orders across multiple industries, updated monthly.

Get Ready for an Extended Slowdown in CRE Demand

An inverted yield curve and forecasts of a dropoff in job growth are among the signals that the industry’s long, great ride may soon be ending, says economist Hugh Kelly.

The View from the Peak: Winter is Coming

After a decade of economic expansion, prosperity continues. But tightening by the Federal Reserve is likely to weaken consumer and business buying power, thereby dampening growth, contends NAR’s George Ratiu.

Wanted: Healthy Skepticism

Technology is undoubtedly changing commercial real estate, but is it overstating the case to call these changes revolutionary? Real estate economist Hugh F. Kelly makes the case for healthy skepticism that can help companies avoid unwise strategic choices.

Real Estate for the Long Run

Current market conditions and history favor investors with upper single-digit return expectations over a 10-year hold and an ample debt coverage cushion.

An Overnight Economic Success Story

The NAR economist weighs wide-raging indicators and their importance for the commercial real estate sector.