Economists View

Real Estate for the Long Run

Current market conditions and history favor investors with upper single-digit return expectations over a 10-year hold and an ample debt coverage cushion.

An Overnight Economic Success Story

The NAR economist weighs wide-raging indicators and their importance for the commercial real estate sector.

A New Route for the Decade Ahead

The moderate economic growth after the recession along with risks of a downturn and stricter immigration policies are just some of the reasons why investors should plan their long-term strategies thoroughly.

Tossing the Affordability Coin

NAR economist George Ratiu discusses how rising student debt levels impact the largest share of homebuyers—Millennials—and how the affordability landscape is shaping up across several major metros.

The Big Policy Shift: Gauging the Impact

How will changes in taxation, regulation and other areas affect the job market and real estate’s prospects over the next few years? Here’s what to look for.

The Impact of Tax Reform

Dr. Peter Linneman examines the biggest effects the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act will have on the commercial real estate industry.

A Partly Sunny Economic Outlook

NAR economist George Ratiu evaluates our emergence from last recession’s winter into an economic spring, marked by steady growth of the global economy.

Hugh F. Kelly, PhD, CRE

Slowing Ahead

In this month’s Economist’s View, Hugh Kelly explains why you should prepare for a recession that’s likely coming in 2019.

EPA Deregulation’s Increased Risk for Real Estate

It is the business of insurance companies to price risk. Insurance, in fact, has been doing this since the second millennium B.C., as evidenced in the Babylonian Code of Hammurabi.

Dr. Peter Linneman

Entitlements, Taxes and Budget Woes

Entitlement spending has so dramatically expanded that it is literally impossible to balance the federal budget without addressing promises made in the past.