Research Center
Declining Delinquencies
By Deegant Pandya, Tamara Hoffman and Andy White Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services forecasts a 50 to 100 basis point decline in the U.S. commercial mortgage-backed securities delinquency rate this year, based on historical and distressed loan data, vintage characteristics, maturity schedules and regression testing against the national unemployment rate. Given the 6.69 percent Standard & Poor’s delinquency rate in December 2014 (down 123 basis points year over year), we expect CMBS delinquency to be in the 5.6 to 6.1 percent range by the end of 2015. We derived a forward-looking delinquency rate from time series analysis calculations and the…
Slow Start
Value of manufacturers’ new orders; not seasonally adjusted; $ in millions
Rising Tide
(employed and unemployed persons by occupation; not seasonally adjusted; numbers in thousands)
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Sustainable building and operation practices continue to shift into the mainstream as industry firms embrace the impact green building has on their triple bottom line.
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Office-ially Stronger
(CMBS delinquencies by property type; $ in billions)










