{"id":1004775733,"date":"2025-10-27T05:12:18","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T13:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004775733"},"modified":"2025-10-27T06:16:53","modified_gmt":"2025-10-27T14:16:53","slug":"what-a-long-government-shutdown-means-for-cre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/what-a-long-government-shutdown-means-for-cre\/","title":{"rendered":"What a Long Government Shutdown Means for CRE"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;6a2d44678f2db&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" class=\"alignright size-full is-resized wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"620\" data-attachment-id=\"1004775937\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/what-a-long-government-shutdown-means-for-cre\/mccarthy-luo-pendergast\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2025\/10\/McCarthy-Luo-Pendergast.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"800,620\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"McCarthy, Luo, Pendergast\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2025\/10\/McCarthy-Luo-Pendergast.jpg?w=800\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-async--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on-async--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on-async-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2025\/10\/McCarthy-Luo-Pendergast.jpg\" alt=\"Left to right: David McCarthy (CREFC), Wei Luo (CBRE Investment Management) and Lisa Pendergast (CREFC)\" class=\"wp-image-1004775937\" style=\"width:399px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2025\/10\/McCarthy-Luo-Pendergast.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2025\/10\/McCarthy-Luo-Pendergast.jpg?resize=300,233 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2025\/10\/McCarthy-Luo-Pendergast.jpg?resize=768,595 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\taria-label=\"Enlarge\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on-async--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.imageButtonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.imageButtonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">L to R: David McCarthy, Wei Luo, Lisa Pendergast. <em>Images courtesy of CREFC, CBRE Investment Management and CREFC, respectively<\/em> <\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>The U.S. is now facing its second-longest government shutdown, a week short, at time of publishing, of the 35-day record from late 2018 to early 2019. The current stalemate, which is seeing some 900,000 people furloughed\u2014the most of any such shutdown\u2014could reach a resolution at any time. Meanwhile, CRE is tackling unique challenges as capital funds are halted and key market data remains unreleased. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kbra.com\/publications\/mtSRxRTh\/a-shutdown-like-no-other?format=web\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">KBRA report<\/a>, a prolonged shutdown could lead to spending cuts, interim borrowing and credit pressures\u2014resulting in funding issues, payment delays and project setbacks due to permitting slowdowns and rising costs. Compounding this is the continued uncertainty around <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/fed-makes-1st-interest-rate-cut-of-2025\/\">interest rates<\/a> and a very likely second cut coming at the incoming October FOMC meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis is primarily a confidence and timing headwind\u2014not a liquidity crisis,\u201d&nbsp;Lisa Pendergast, President &amp; CEO of the Commercial Real Estate Finance Council, told <em>Commercial Property Executive<\/em>. The bright side is that CRE is in a better state than it was two to three years ago. Liquidity and deal pipeline remain strong and bullish, which should present some resilience to offset near-term uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-prepare-for-cre-delays-amid-government-shutdown\">Prepare for CRE delays amid government shutdown<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Development and financing that requires federal permits will be delayed. Overall, there is good momentum for transaction volumes of U.S. real estate coming out of the third quarter, which should continue into the fourth. We saw a Top Ten all-time high quarter of transaction volumes in Q3,&#8221; said Wei Luo, CBRE Investment Management\u2019s global research director &amp; senior economist. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Broader issues like the short end of the curve coming down, improving fundamentals in an increasing number of markets and a still-solid economy overall should be more important considerations than the shutdown in the near-to-medium term.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity has-very-light-gray-to-cyan-bluish-gray-gradient-background has-background is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>READ ALSO:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/navigating-cre-investments-amid-high-interest-rates\/\">Navigating CRE Investments Amid High Interest Rates<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity has-very-light-gray-to-cyan-bluish-gray-gradient-background has-background is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>The delay in permits translates into development delays, which can prove costly across all asset classes. The biggest impact could be felt in metros that have a strong government presence, Luo reasoned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Washington, D.C., \u201cit doesn\u2019t feel like there is a shutdown,\u201d added David McCarthy, managing director &amp; head of legislative affairs at CREFC. Despite this, McCarthy believes that delaying access to data even longer is adding to the uncertainty the industry has been experiencing for months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These delays can result in credit committees being more conservative and contractors pulling back from spending, McCarthy pointed out. It could also have an impact on asset performance if the shutdown continues for long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMetros where federal government employment as a share of all employees is relatively high could see some localized spillover impacts, including Washington, D.C., Norfolk, Va., Honolulu, Ogden, Utah, Oklahoma City, Baltimore, San Antonio and San Diego, as federal agencies are often owner\/occupiers of their real estate,\u201d Luo said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, most industry players have activated contingency plans. While access to federal data is suspended, CBRE Investment Management is using private sector platforms and academic surveys to identify strategies. The firm is also monitoring cap rates, leasing fundamentals and REIT market pricing trends to see how the overall market performs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Effects may vary, but experts agree that complications are compounding. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3749,"featured_media":1004775937,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21808,21825,21783,23891,21742,52682],"tags":[51764,49138],"class_list":["post-1004775733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-finance","category-investment","category-national","category-latest","category-policy","tag-cbre-investment-management","tag-cre-finance-council"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v24.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What a Long Government Shutdown Means for CRE - 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