{"id":1004732394,"date":"2024-10-09T04:02:11","date_gmt":"2024-10-09T12:02:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004732394"},"modified":"2024-10-15T06:19:41","modified_gmt":"2024-10-15T14:19:41","slug":"construction-cost-increases-hit-3-year-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/construction-cost-increases-hit-3-year-low\/","title":{"rendered":"Construction Cost Increases Hit 3-Year Low"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The national average increase in construction costs was 1.07 percent in the third quarter, the lowest in the past three years, according to Rider Levett Bucknall\u2019s crane index and quarterly cost report, which studies 14 key markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston, Denver, Honolulu, New York City, Seattle and Washington, D.C., all saw gains exceeding the national average this quarter. Chicago, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Phoenix, Portland and San Francisco recorded gains that were below the national rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The construction costs index increased 4.91 percent year-over-year, and the construction unemployment rate slipped slightly to 3.2 percent, down 0.7 percent from the same period last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004732424\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/construction-cost-increases-hit-3-year-low\/comparative-map\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png\" data-orig-size=\"1073,600\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Comparative map\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png?w=1024\" height=\"573\" width=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png?w=1024\" alt=\"Comparative map of the annual percentage change in construction costs between July 2023 to July 2024\" class=\"wp-image-1004732424\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png 1073w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png?resize=300,168 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png?resize=768,429 768w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/Comparative-map.png?resize=1024,573 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Comparative map of the annual percentage change in construction costs between July 2023 to July 2024. <em>Image courtesy of Rider Levett Bucknall<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The national average increase in construction costs <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/are-construction-costs-stabilizing\/\">in the second quarter<\/a> was 1.12 percent over the previous quarter. The U.S. national average increase in construction costs was approximately 5.41 percent, compared to 5.85 percent year-over-year in the first quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cushman Wakefield\u2019s Research Manager Sandy Romero said this aligns with the U.S. August Producer Price Index\u2019s year-over-year increase of 1.2 percent for nonresidential structures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWith lower inflation rates, prices should continue normalizing, barring any major supply chain disruptions,\u201d Romero told <em>Commercial Property Executive<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Andrew Volz, research manager, project and development services for JLL, said that in JLL\u2019s recent 2024 midyear construction update and reforecast, his firm predicted a modest 1 percent to 2 percent total cost growth for 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe remain optimistic about this tempered growth,\u201d Volz said. \u201cLooking ahead, we expect strong demand for construction as the industry continues addressing changing use patterns in the built environment, particularly around sustainability and technology integration.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity has-very-light-gray-to-cyan-bluish-gray-gradient-background has-background is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>READ ALSO<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/cre-sentiment-index-hits-all-time-high\/\">CRE Sentiment Index at All-Time High<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity has-very-light-gray-to-cyan-bluish-gray-gradient-background has-background is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Volz, sustained construction activity from public and private sources will keep costs increasing, especially within emerging hotspots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAlthough the recent moderation in cost growth is welcome news for the industry, owners and developers should remain prepared and strategically plan for both near-term fluctuations and long-term trends shaping the construction landscape,\u201d Volz added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aaron Faulk, construction national practice leader for Moss Adams accounting\/consulting, told <em>CPE<\/em> that slowing&nbsp;construction cost increases and interest rate declines provide optimism for increased private sector construction activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile certainly good news, we don\u2019t expect significant new projects or activity in the private sector until mid-2025 at the earliest,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-hiring-trends-match-rlb-data\">Hiring trends match RLB data<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Lisa Flicker, senior managing partner &amp; head of real estate at Jackson Lucas, said that while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/is-the-rise-in-construction-costs-decelerating\/\">rising construction costs<\/a> have slowed their upward trajectory, the Crane Index reveals a dynamic and evolving development landscape across North America that aligns with the hiring trends she is seeing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI was not surprised to see (the 1.07 percent national average) increase in construction costs,\u201d Flicker said. \u201cWe have seen a significant increase in hiring for senior-level construction leaders,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Flicker, the cooling of the construction cost inflation is driving developers to think about construction again in a meaningful way. \u201cThis could open the door for developers to capitalize on more stable pricing, allowing for better financial planning and potential project acceleration in 2025. While overall construction activity remains robust, regional variations are notable,\u201d Flicker observed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004732425\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/construction-cost-increases-hit-3-year-low\/rlb-q3-2024-crane-index\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1455,660\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"RLB Q3 2024 Crane Index\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg?w=1024\" height=\"464\" width=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg?w=1024\" alt=\"Rider Levett Bucknall\u2019s crane index map for the third quarter of 2024\" class=\"wp-image-1004732425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg 1455w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg?resize=300,136 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg?resize=768,348 768w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2024\/10\/RLB-Q3-2024-Crane-Index-.jpg?resize=1024,464 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Rider Levett Bucknall\u2019s crane index map for the third quarter of 2024. <em>Image courtesy of Rider Levett Bucknall<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-construction-costs-stabilizing\">Construction costs stabilizing<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Brian Gallagher, vice president of corporate development at Graycor, said that the decrease in the rate of escalation for construction costs\u2014the lowest in the past three years\u2014signals a possible stabilization in the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThis moderation in cost escalation may ease pressure on developers, allowing for more predictable budgeting and planning,\u201d Gallagher said. \u201cCombined with improving labor availability and lower interest rates, the more favorable cost environment could revive previously delayed or scaled-back projects, making them financially viable again.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOverall, this trend could spur investment growth across sectors, particularly in commercial developments, while providing relief amid broader economic uncertainty. Ultimately, developers will seek a balance between opportunity and risk, carefully considering construction costs, economic trends, and future market conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>David Curry, real estate partner at Farrell Fritz in New York City, told <em>CPE<\/em> that since the pandemic began, real estate development has been hampered by a lethal combination of exponential increases in the cost of materials and high interest rates resulting from an alarming rise in inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cHigh land prices create an additional roadblock depending on the area in which a project is planned. These factors have led to the stoppage and cancellation of many meaningful projects,\u201d Curry said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe are finally seeing a leveling of prices of materials in construction from their unsustainable pandemic surges, including steel and concrete, as well as a decrease in the price of some raw materials, such as lumber. This is a meaningful start to the recovery needed to jumpstart projects sidelined by unsustainable price increases and interest rates. Continuing these price trends and reductions in interest rates will be key to boosting the economy and getting the cranes back in the air.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-cost-of-steel-down-while-concrete-s-is-up\">Cost of steel down, while concrete\u2019s is up<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Mark Augustyn, co-founder &amp; COO of Principle Construction Corp. said that he\u2019s seen a reduction in the annual increase in construction costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cInterestingly, the cost of some commodities has decreased while that of others has continued their climb,\u201d he said. \u201cFor example, the actual cost of steel has seen a price decline, roofing has stayed flat, and the cost of concrete continues to climb. Even with the price inflation at low rates, this generally isn\u2019t a driver for new construction.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Augustyn, reducing or at least consistent interest rates will drive new construction. Considering rates are stable or dropping and construction commodity price increases are very low, this would be a very advantageous time to invest in new construction.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Frank He, managing director &amp; head of construction, Parkview Financial, said that lower construction costs reduce project expenses and help make housing and infrastructure projects more accessible and feasible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLower construction costs and the recent Fed rate cut should spur developers to take on more projects, leading to increased housing availability and potentially lower prices,\u201d he said. \u201cFurther, the dual forces of lower construction costs and lower interest rates should lead to more development and improved living standards across the nation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Neil Axler, managing director at EisnerAmper, any construction cost trends that are increasing slower than the past three years are good for property values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Axler said another benefit of the slowdown in construction cost trends is that it will help property owners resist insurance increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re seeing many clients ordering insurance appraisals to negotiate lower insurance premiums, a trend that will help support those appraisals,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-some-material-prices-still-volatile\">Some material prices still volatile<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Skender Vice President Alex Panici said that he is still seeing volatility in steel and copper, which have been down 24 percent and up 17 percent, respectively, in the past year. Most prices are still significantly higher than four years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Panici said steel, copper, plastic, gypsum and concrete have all risen by 35 percent to 60 percent since March 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cStill, the recent improvement in stability coupled with downward-moving interest rates is giving developers greater clarity and optimism, which we expect will translate to more projects penciling out in 2025 and beyond,\u201d he concluded.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How this slowdown will impact development activity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3568,"featured_media":1004732422,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21782,21808,23891,21742,51037],"tags":[52370],"class_list":["post-1004732394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-development","category-featured","category-national","category-latest","category-trends","tag-rider-levett-bucknall"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v24.6) - 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