{"id":1004579026,"date":"2022-05-05T00:16:57","date_gmt":"2022-05-05T08:16:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004579026"},"modified":"2023-01-27T12:19:52","modified_gmt":"2023-01-27T20:19:52","slug":"global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown\/","title":{"rendered":"Global Recession Risk Remains Low, But for How Long?"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe src=\"https:\/\/embed.podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-for-how-long\/id1552202952?i=1000559673169&amp;itsct=podcast_box_player&amp;itscg=30200&amp;ls=1&amp;theme=light\" height=\"175px\" frameborder=\"0\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" allow=\"autoplay *; encrypted-media *; clipboard-write\" style=\"width: 100%; overflow: hidden; border-radius: 10px; background: transparent;\" ><\/iframe>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004527994\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004527994\" data-attachment-id=\"1004527994\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-economy-keeps-improving-but-momentum-is-slowing\/tarrant-parsons-1-1\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"800,620\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Alexander Caminada&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;Tarrant Parsons. RICS. London. United Kingdom.&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1548685400&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Copyright Alexander Caminada 2019&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Tarrant Parsons. RICS. London. United Kingdom.&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Tarrant-Parsons-1-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Tarrant Parsons, Senior Economist, RICS. Image courtesy of RICS&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg?w=800\" class=\"wp-image-1004527994 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg?w=300\" alt=\"Tarrant Parsons, Economist, RICS. Image courtesy of RICS\" width=\"300\" height=\"233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg?resize=300,233 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2021\/05\/Tarrant-Parsons-1-1.jpg?resize=768,595 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004527994\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Tarrant Parsons, Economist, RICS. Image courtesy of RICS<\/p><\/div>\n<p>In the first three months of this year, real estate sentiment around the globe continued to improve, according to the <strong>Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors<\/strong>\u2019 latest survey. The organization\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rics.org\/globalassets\/rics-website\/media\/knowledge\/research\/market-surveys\/construction-monitor\/rics-gcpm-q1-2022.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Global Commercial Property Monitor<\/a> found that occupier metrics are gaining traction, with appetite for office and retail slowly returning.<\/p>\n<p>Market conditions are strengthening across North America, with demand in the U.S. rising across all sectors for the first time since the pandemic outbreak. In Asia Pacific, the latest results of the quarterly survey are painting a mixed picture, with a positive tone in India, Australia and Singapore, and a more cautious one in China and Hong Kong. In the Middle East and Africa, the feedback pointed toward a solid recovery, while occupier and investment sentiment indices in European markets both saw improvements.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><strong>READ ALSO<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/what-inflation-recession-risk-mean-for-cre\/\">How Persistent Will Inflation Be?<\/a><\/p>\n<hr>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004579235\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004579235\" data-attachment-id=\"1004579235\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1200,899\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1651744768&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"economy\" data-image-description=\"&lt;p&gt;https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/calculator-calculation-insurance-1680905\/&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Image by stevepb via Pixabay&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg?w=1024\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1004579235\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg?w=300\" alt=\"Calculator and pen\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg?resize=300,225 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg?resize=768,575 768w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg?resize=1024,767 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004579235\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Image by stevepb via Pixabay<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Nevertheless, commercial real estate professionals across the world remain cautious, considering the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/ukraine-economy-investment-insights-from-the-cpe-100\/\">geopolitical context<\/a>, high inflation, and monetary tightening. In this podcast episode hosted by <em>Commercial Property Executive<\/em> Senior Editor Laura Calugar, RICS Economist Tarrant Parsons explains why he doesn\u2019t expect a global recession at this point. However, he admits there are lots of reasons to be concerned about the near-term prospects for the global economy.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the main topics Parsons covered with <em>CPE<\/em>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Current challenges for the CRE industry (1:02)<\/li>\n<li>How tenant demand differs at a regional level (2:16)<\/li>\n<li>Appetite for offices and retail returning (4:10)<\/li>\n<li>Valuations and monetary tightening (5:55)<\/li>\n<li>Q1 survey results for North America, APAC, the Middle East and Africa, Europe (8:05)<\/li>\n<li>Expectations for the remainder of the year and 2023 (14:54)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Don\u2019t forget to follow CPE\u2019s podcasts on&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/5uRBoMcuJ6uaoNqCEDbAYR?si=gIGVhzOERAGUx0BZkusrxw\">Spotify<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/ro\/podcast\/unearthing-the-benefits-of-geothermal\/id1552202952?i=1000541094885\">Apple Podcasts<\/a>!<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RICS Economist Tarrant Parsons weighs in on today\u2019s fluid market conditions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":238,"featured_media":1004579235,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"audio","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,23891,21795],"tags":[33936,43061],"class_list":["post-1004579026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-audio","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international","category-national","category-podcasts","tag-rics","tag-tarrant-parsons","post_format-post-format-audio"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v24.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Global Recession Risk Remains Low, But for How Long? -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There are several reasons of concern among CRE professionals across the globe, despite real estate sentiment improving in the first quarter.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Global Recession Risk Remains Low, But for How Long?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There are several reasons of concern among CRE professionals across the globe, despite real estate sentiment improving in the first quarter.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Property Executive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-05T08:16:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-01-27T20:19:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2022\/05\/calculator-gc945aff05_1920.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"899\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Laura Valean\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/global-recession-risk-remains-low-but-expect-an-economic-slowdown\/\",\"name\":\"Global Recession Risk Remains Low, But for How Long? 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