{"id":1004162998,"date":"2017-01-04T11:37:04","date_gmt":"2017-01-04T19:37:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004162998"},"modified":"2020-05-11T21:58:33","modified_gmt":"2020-05-12T05:58:33","slug":"shelf-space-2017-outlook-for-retail-real-estate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/shelf-space-2017-outlook-for-retail-real-estate\/","title":{"rendered":"Shelf Space: 2017 Outlook for Retail Real Estate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Anthony La Malfa &amp; Natalie Kotlyar<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2017\/01\/Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004163001\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/shelf-space-2017-outlook-for-retail-real-estate\/kotlyar_natalie-img_3597-cr2-bg5\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2017\/01\/Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"362,259\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2017\/01\/Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5.jpg?w=362\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-1004163001\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2017\/01\/Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5.jpg\" alt=\"Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5\" width=\"300\" height=\"215\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2017\/01\/Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5.jpg 362w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2017\/01\/Kotlyar_Natalie-IMG_3597-CR2-BG5.jpg?resize=300,215 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Today\u2019s retail industry is bursting with buzzwords and fresh business models, including direct-to-consumer e-commerce, handpicked subscription boxes, clicks-to-bricks retailers, and influencer product placement on Instagram and other social media platforms. For retail real estate, this confluence of disruptive factors makes for a seismic shift in companies\u2019 demand for and use of space.<\/p>\n<p>The current brick-and-mortar \u201crenaissance,\u201d in which retailers are increasingly recognizing their challenges and embracing opportunities in stores, has spurred many tech innovations and enhancements. As these investments finally reach stores, more retailers are realizing seamless omni-channel strategies. And those who aren\u2019t keeping up risk being left behind.<\/p>\n<p>Which retail trends will be critical for the real estate industry to watch in 2017?<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/12\/Anthony-La-Malfa-e1483459548967.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004133766\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/reit-column-top-2016-resolutions-for-reits\/anthony-la-malfa\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/12\/Anthony-La-Malfa-e1483459548967.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"393,343\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Kathryne Hunter&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1450272003&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Anthony La Malfa\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/12\/Anthony-La-Malfa-e1483459548967.jpg?w=393\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-1004133766\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/12\/Anthony-La-Malfa-e1483459548967.jpg\" alt=\"Anthony La Malfa\" width=\"300\" height=\"262\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/12\/Anthony-La-Malfa-e1483459548967.jpg 393w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/12\/Anthony-La-Malfa-e1483459548967.jpg?resize=300,262 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Tech yields new marketing opportunities and security risks<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cSmart\u201d store features, like the new time-saving, checkout-free Amazon Go grocery concept in Seattle, could push retailers to raise the bar on their efforts to incorporate new-age technology into stores. The automated \u201cvirtual cart\u201d technology that eliminates check-out counters and queues could revolutionize operations not only for grocers, but also for big-box and convenience stores.<\/p>\n<p>Innovative and efficient new technologies are great news for investors, as Amazon has proven since the launch of Amazon Go, but could have different implications for commercial landlords. The technology required to create a seamless checkout experience could also bring up new\u2014and as-yet unknown\u2014cyber and data security risks for landlords and third-party commercial property managers.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pop-ups are back in vogue<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As more traditional brick-and-mortar retailers refresh their concepts or consider opening new locations\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad, many are testing the waters with pop-ups. Temporary locations are a great opportunity to capitalize on hype and, often, lower rents. As a result, pop-ups have seen a resurgence in recent quarters, especially among brands with a strong social media presence.<\/p>\n<p>Not only do pop-ups allow retailers to show off creative concepts, they also give landlords a unique chance to showcase space to potential longer-term tenants. With vacancies starting to rise in major shopping hubs like Manhattan\u2019s Fifth Avenue, welcoming pop-up tenants can generate revenue on otherwise-empty properties and increase the likelihood of leasing the space in the future.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rents and valuations soften<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As e-commerce gains more traction and continues to disrupt the sector, brick-and-mortar footprints are still trending smaller. Changing demand could factor into average asking rents falling by an average of 18 percent in the third quarter in all Manhattan shopping districts except Lower Manhattan. With investors and REITs moving into secondary markets in search of consistent returns, the question remains whether the softening in top-tier markets will prove to be a bellwether for the rest of the nation\u2019s malls and Main Street shopping.<\/p>\n<p>The December rate hike has set interest rates on an upward path into 2017, putting pressure on landlords to bring in higher rental rates to balance out the added cost. While a rise in interest rates signals stronger market fundamentals and healthy demand, rental rates have long been high\u2014and perhaps even unsustainable\u2014which indicates that we could see downward pressure on real estate values in 2017.<\/p>\n<p>Anthony La Malfa is a partner in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bdo.com\/industries\/real-estate-construction\/overview\" rel=\"nofollow\">BDO\u2019s Real Estate &amp; Construction practice<\/a>, and may be reached at <a href=\"mailto:alamalfa@bdo.com\">alamalfa@bdo.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Natalie Kotlyar is a partner and national leader of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bdo.com\/industries\/consumer-business\/overview\" rel=\"nofollow\">BDO\u2019s Consumer Business practice<\/a>, and may be reached at <a href=\"mailto:nkotlyar@bdo.com\">nkotlyar@bdo.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Anthony La Malfa &#038; Natalie Kotlyar, Partners, BDO USA: Which retail trends will be critical for the real estate industry to watch in 2017?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1269,"featured_media":1004163001,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21749,21684],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004162998","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-retail","category-viewpoint"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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