{"id":1004150548,"date":"2016-08-22T06:56:52","date_gmt":"2016-08-22T14:56:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004150548"},"modified":"2022-12-04T17:02:36","modified_gmt":"2022-12-05T01:02:36","slug":"economy-watch-more-hints-of-an-upcoming-interest-rate-hike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-more-hints-of-an-upcoming-interest-rate-hike\/","title":{"rendered":"Economy Watch: More Hints of an Upcoming Interest Rate Hike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Dees Stribling, Contributing Editor<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004150550\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2016\/08\/Screen-Shot-2016-08-22-at-10.54.03-AM.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004150550\" data-attachment-id=\"1004150550\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-more-hints-of-an-upcoming-interest-rate-hike\/screen-shot-2016-08-22-at-10-54-03-am\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2016\/08\/Screen-Shot-2016-08-22-at-10.54.03-AM.png\" data-orig-size=\"670,424\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Screen Shot 2016-08-22 at 10.54.03 AM\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee.&lt;br \/&gt;\nSource: The Conference Board&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2016\/08\/Screen-Shot-2016-08-22-at-10.54.03-AM.png?w=670\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-1004150550 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2016\/08\/Screen-Shot-2016-08-22-at-10.54.03-AM.png\" alt=\"Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee. Source: The Conference Board\" width=\"300\" height=\"190\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2016\/08\/Screen-Shot-2016-08-22-at-10.54.03-AM.png 670w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2016\/08\/Screen-Shot-2016-08-22-at-10.54.03-AM.png?resize=300,190 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004150550\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Note: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee.<br \/> Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conference-board.org\/pdf_free\/press\/US%20LEI%20-%20Press%20Release%20AUGUST%2018%202016.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Conference Board<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p>As the summer draws to a close, a more urgent question among economists, prognosticators and borrowers (including entities looking to do real estate deals) is whether the Fed will pull the trigger on higher rates, perhaps as early as September. Late last week, the San Francisco Fed President John Williams offered another clue when he said that a return to rate hikes \u201cmakes sense.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The central banker noted that in &#8220;the context of a strong domestic economy with good momentum, it makes sense to get back to a pace of gradual rate increases, preferably sooner rather than later.\u201d He made the remarks in Alaska while speaking to the Anchorage Economic Development Corp.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, Williams warned against waiting too long. &#8220;If we wait until we see the whites of inflation\u2019s eyes, we don\u2019t just risk having to slam on the monetary policy brakes, we risk having to throw the economy into reverse to undo the damage of overshooting the mark,&#8221; he asserted. &#8220;And that creates its own risks of a hard landing or even a recession.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>So far, recent fairly positive data about the U.S. economy seems to be on the side of higher rates. <span class=\"contextualExtensionHighlight ms-font-color-themePrimary ms-border-color-themePrimary ident_1232_1474\">On Friday, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.conference-board.org\/pdf_free\/press\/US%20LEI%20-%20Press%20Release%20AUGUST%2018%202016.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Conference Board released<\/a> a little more of that (fairly) positive data: its Leading Economic Index increased 0.4 percent in July to 124.3 (2010 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in June, and a 0.2 percent decline in May.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe U.S. LEI picked up again in July, suggesting moderate economic growth should continue through the end of 2016,\u201d said Ataman Ozyildirim, director of business cycles and growth research at the Conference Board. \u201cThere may even be some moderate upside growth potential if recent improvements in manufacturing and construction are sustained.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fairly positive recent data about the U.S. economy seems to point to higher rates in the near future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1023,"featured_media":1004150550,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23891,21742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004150548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-national","category-latest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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