{"id":1004122823,"date":"2015-07-08T12:13:47","date_gmt":"2015-07-08T20:13:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004122823"},"modified":"2022-12-05T03:49:45","modified_gmt":"2022-12-05T11:49:45","slug":"the-scoop-on-commercial-property-investment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/the-scoop-on-commercial-property-investment\/","title":{"rendered":"The Scoop on Commercial Property Investment"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>By Keith Loria, Contributing Editor<\/em><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004122824\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/07\/Brian-Ward.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004122824\" data-attachment-id=\"1004122824\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/the-scoop-on-commercial-property-investment\/brian-ward\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/07\/Brian-Ward.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"450,414\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1269515088&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Brian Ward\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Brian Ward&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/07\/Brian-Ward.jpg?w=450\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-1004122824\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2015\/07\/Brian-Ward.jpg\" alt=\"Brian Ward\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004122824\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brian Ward, Colliers International<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Colliers International Group Inc.\u2019s first-ever U.S. Capital Flows Research and Forecast report noted that commercial property investment in the U.S. is off to a strong start in the first quarter of 2015, with year-to-year volume nearing $129 billion.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat has remained obvious is the global flow of capital into real estate is as robust as ever, that we are in a market where prices continue to escalate rapidly, and we\u2019re in a market where cap rates continue to compress,\u201d Brian Ward, Colliers International\u2019s president, Capital Markets &amp; Investment Services, told <em>Commercial Property Executive<\/em>. \u201cAnd all of that in the face of what\u2019s probably at least some form of moderate interest rate increase here, probably by September.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The report analyzed data supplied by Real Capital Analytics, and showed that office and apartment transactions led the market, with quarterly sales of $33.5 billion and $33 billion respectively.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat\u2019s going on with office is that the cap rate opportunities have presented more interesting return possibilities than some of the other asset classes,\u201d he said. \u201cNo. 2, as we\u2019ve seen increase in foreign investment in the United States, I think that foreign investment has definitely had a preference toward office assets. The third thing that we\u2019re seeing is, as capital begins to go further out, the risk curve and looks for better returns, we\u2019re starting to see more of a shift toward suburban office as an opportunity for select markets to get better returns.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The report showed investor confidence has continually emboldened, as evidenced by the increase in cross-border investments across property types. Cross-border investment more than doubled (+111 percent) this quarter over one year prior, capturing $22.2 billion in properties across all major types. In fact, Canadian investors were edged out by sovereign- wealth funds from Asia as the leader in cross-border investment into the U.S. Examples include <a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/headlines\/demand-for-cre-assets-prompts-blackstone-to-sell-indcor\/1004108683.html\">GIC\u2019s acquisition of the sizeable IndCor industrial portfolio<\/a> from the Blackstone Group.<\/p>\n<p>In examining the first quarter of 2015 figures, numbers were approaching fourth quarter of 2014 in terms of volume and Q4 of 2014 was a large quarter. In fact, looking at the fourth quarters of the last three years, Q4 has just been on fire in each of the last three years.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo if we keep up this pace, from a volume perspective, we will blow past 2007 here. So is that significant or not? I don\u2019t know. A lot of correlations are made to 2007 and the fact that we could surpass 2007 does not mean that we\u2019re at the peak of the market necessarily,\u201d Ward added. \u201cHowever, we are in pretty heady times in terms of the volume of real estate transacting today.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, Ward said to expect continued aggressive moves in the market and the probable quarter-point increase in short-term rates from the Central Bank in September are not going to affect the market at all.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe only things that could tip the market are something like a Black Swan event, an external event that could cause people to be scared and hunker down,\u201d he concluded. \u201cBut barring that, I think we\u2019re going to see the balance of 2015 finish very strongly, and I would say likely surpass, from a volume perspective, 2007.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Colliers International Group\u2019s first-ever U.S. Capital Flows Research and Forecast report is out, with the following news on commercial-property investment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":451,"featured_media":1004122824,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37301],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004122823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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