{"id":1004084660,"date":"2013-10-04T05:45:56","date_gmt":"2013-10-04T13:45:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004084660"},"modified":"2022-12-03T15:13:16","modified_gmt":"2022-12-03T23:13:16","slug":"economy-watch-no-jobs-numbers-for-september-but-non-manufacturing-activity-up-treasury-warns-against-default","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-no-jobs-numbers-for-september-but-non-manufacturing-activity-up-treasury-warns-against-default\/","title":{"rendered":"Economy Watch: No Jobs Numbers for September, but Non-Manufacturing Activity Up; Treasury Warns Against Default"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_1004084682\" style=\"width: 262px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2013\/10\/Department-of-Labor.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004084682\" data-attachment-id=\"1004084682\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-no-jobs-numbers-for-september-but-non-manufacturing-activity-up-treasury-warns-against-default\/department-of-labor\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2013\/10\/Department-of-Labor.png\" data-orig-size=\"252,176\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Department of Labor\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Frances Perkins Building, Department of Labor&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2013\/10\/Department-of-Labor.png?w=252\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1004084682\" alt=\"Frances Perkins Building, Department of Labor\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2013\/10\/Department-of-Labor.png\" width=\"252\" height=\"176\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004084682\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Frances Perkins Building, Department of Labor<\/p><\/div>\n<p>By Dees Stribling, Contributing Editor<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics did not release its customary monthly report on the U.S. employment picture, which is one of the most closely watched economic indicators produced by the federal government. Reportedly, only three top employees at the BLS are going to work, with the rest furloughed. It isn\u2019t clear whether the report will ever be issued, since the length of the federal government shutdown isn\u2019t clear yet, either.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. Department of Labor, however, did report on Thursday that for the week ending Sept. 28, initial unemployment claims were 308,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week. The less jumpy four-week moving average was 305,000, a decrease of 3,750 from the previous week&#8217;s revised average.<\/p>\n<p>The four-week average was the lowest since May 2007, before the onset of the recession, and the weekly average is almost as low as it was during the mid-2000s and the late 1990s. The weekly numbers will continue to be reported regardless of the length of the federal shutdown, since the states actually collect the numbers and pass along the data to Labor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>ISM Reports Non-Manufacturing Activity Up in September<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Economic activity in the U.S. non-manufacturing sector grew in September for the 45th consecutive month, according to the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business, which was released on Thursday by the Institute of Supply Management. But growth wasn\u2019t as much as in August: The index registered 54.4 percent in September, 4.2 percentage points lower than August.<\/p>\n<p>The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 55.1 percent, or 7.1 percentage points lower than in August. The New Orders Index dropped by 0.9 percentage points to 59.6 percent, and the Employment Index was down 4.3 percentage points to 52.7 percent.<\/p>\n<p>According to the report, 11 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in September, among them retail trade, transportation and warehousing, utilities and construction. Four industries reported contraction: arts, entertainment and recreation; educational services; healthcare and social assistance; and mining.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Treasury Warns About U.S. Sovereign Default<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The U.S. Department of the Treasury also released a report on Thursday \u2013 one that\u2019s presumably been in the works for a while, and which needed no large staff to release \u2013 called &#8220;The Potential Macroeconomic Effect of Debt Ceiling Brinkmanship.&#8221; In it, the department warned that a \u201cdefault would be unprecedented and has the potential to be catastrophic: Credit markets could freeze, the value of the dollar could plummet, and U.S. interest rates could skyrocket, potentially resulting in a financial crisis and recession that could echo the events of 2008 or worse.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Treasury also asserted that &#8220;political brinkmanship that hints at even the prospect of a default can be disruptive.&#8221; The report hearkened back to the last time Congress quarreled with itself over the debt ceiling, in the summer of 2011, saying that at the time, consumer and business confidence dropped, job growth stalled and financial markets were unsettled by the default uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Wall Street was down on Thursday, perhaps weighed down by default worries \u2013 though most investors reportedly regard actual U.S. default as a remote possibility. In any case, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 136.66 points, or 0.9 percent. The S&amp;P 500 was down 0.9 percent and the Nasdaq was off by 1.07 percent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There was no jobs report today, but state-reported unemployment claims hit a six-year four-week average low. The ISM measured an increase in non-manufacturing business. And the Treasury Department made dire predictions about what would happen if the U.S. were to default on its sovereign debt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":755,"featured_media":1004084682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004084660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economy Watch: No Jobs Numbers for September, but Non-Manufacturing Activity Up; Treasury Warns Against Default - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-no-jobs-numbers-for-september-but-non-manufacturing-activity-up-treasury-warns-against-default\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economy Watch: No Jobs Numbers for September, but Non-Manufacturing Activity Up; Treasury Warns Against Default\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There was no jobs report today, but state-reported unemployment claims hit a six-year four-week average low. 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