{"id":1004054027,"date":"2012-12-05T10:37:06","date_gmt":"2012-12-05T18:37:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004054027"},"modified":"2022-12-08T20:08:16","modified_gmt":"2022-12-09T04:08:16","slug":"icsc-special-report-2013-outlook-for-retail-real-estate-appears-promising-if-uneven","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/icsc-special-report-2013-outlook-for-retail-real-estate-appears-promising-if-uneven\/","title":{"rendered":"ICSC Special Report: 2013 Outlook for Retail Real Estate Appears Promising, if Uneven"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>By Paul Rosta, Senior Editor<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004053932\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/icsc-special-report-2013-outlook-for-retail-real-estate-appears-promising-if-uneven\/icsc-december-2012-002\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"2304,1296\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"ICSC December 2012 002\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?w=1024\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-1004053932\" title=\"ICSC December 2012 002\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg 2304w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=300,169 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=768,432 768w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=1024,576 1024w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=1536,864 1536w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=2048,1152 2048w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=150,84 150w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=696,392 696w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=1068,601 1068w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=1920,1080 1920w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/12\/ICSC-December-2012-002.jpg?resize=747,420 747w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>What will 2013 bring for the retail real estate market? Between deal-making sessions at the International Council of Shopping Centers\u2019 annual fall convention in Manhattan this week, executives discussed \u00a0the industry\u2019s outlook. A picture emerged of a market that will improve gradually, if unevenly.<\/p>\n<p>Uncertainty over economic conditions and government fiscal policy continues to create some moving parts for retailers\u2019 plans. \u201cWe know they\u2019re looking for space,\u201d said Greg Maloney, president &amp; CEO of retail for Jones Lang LaSalle Inc. Projected expansion plans could vary widely; the question, Maloney explains, is whether a growing retailer will decide to open six new stores next year or 20-plus. At the moment, retailers are expected to launch upwards with 78,000 new locations in 2013\u2014a four-year high, Jones Lang LaSalle reported Monday in its annual preview of the retail real estate market. Other upbeat projections from this week\u2019s report include 52 million square feet of new retail space coming on line, which would amount to a year-over-year increase of 150 percent; continued growth of the stores-within-anchors trend, such as Macy\u2019s plans to open 450 Finish Line stores; and improved durable goods sales, particularly in the second half of next year.<\/p>\n<p>From a niche perspective, retail real estate is likely to experience something of a bookend effect, as retailers on opposite ends of the spectrum appear to be in particularly strong positions. \u201cIf you have a value side or a luxury side, things are looking good,\u201d Maloney said. That could translate to encouraging news for some properties outside the Class A category, as a shortage of available space there could send retailers to Class B assets instead, he added.<\/p>\n<p>Store footprints will continue to shrink, as they have been among big-box retailers. \u201cThey may have 20-, 30-, 40,000 square feet, and they\u2019re looking to cut it in half,\u201d Maloney concluded. In many cases, the opportunity to backfill inventory left over from the Great Recession is putting the brakes on new development, he noted.<\/p>\n<p>Executives at the ICSC show reported that retail\u2019s net-lease corner is demonstrating increased demand from investors. \u201cWe continue to see cap-rate compression in the net-lease space,\u201d said Harold Briggs executive managing director and head of the investment sales team at the Stan Johnson Co. \u201cThere\u2019s so much capital chasing the net lease space that we\u2019re seeing the investment community take on more risk than they historically have done.\u201d Since 2011, cap rates have decreased by about 25 basis points across the board for net-lease properties, he added.<\/p>\n<p>Drugstores and other premium single-tenant retail assets are in especially short supply, especially in core markets, and that is forcing investors to broaden their horizons. As they hunt for yield, buyers are turning to opportunities like sale-leaseback deals for convenience stores. Whereas a drugstore in a top-tier market could command a cap rate in the 6 percent range, the rate for a convenience store in a tertiary market might run closer to 8.5 or 9. On the development side, a fair number of build-to-suit projects are moving forward. Because of the difficulty of securing financing in a lending environment that remains relatively conservative, however, developers must often look beyond commercial banks and other conventional sources.<\/p>\n<p>Briggs noted that Stan Johnson Co. is fielding a growing number of requests from developers to match them up with limited partners who can provide equity for a deal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What will 2013 bring for the retail real estate market?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":952,"featured_media":1004053932,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,1600,21742,21749],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004054027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-midatlantic","category-new-york","category-latest","category-retail"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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