{"id":1004048640,"date":"2012-10-18T03:20:17","date_gmt":"2012-10-18T11:20:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004048640"},"modified":"2025-02-24T23:57:54","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T07:57:54","slug":"uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"ULI Special Report: Emerging Trends Respondents Optimistic About Recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Suzann D. Silverman, Editorial Director<\/p>\n<p>Optimism permeated the <em>Emerging Trends in Real Estate<\/em> results this year, with respondents finding a marked improvement over last year. Recovery, though, remains slow, noted Jonathan Miller, partner &amp; co-owner of Miller Ryan L.L.C. and the longtime author of the report, a venture between PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Urban Land Institute. Miller and fellow researchers presented the results during a media briefing yesterday during the ULI Fall Meeting.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004048647\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Jonathan-Miller2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004048647\" data-attachment-id=\"1004048647\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\/jonathan-miller-3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Jonathan-Miller2.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"470,353\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Jonathan Miller\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Jonathan Miller&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Jonathan-Miller2.jpg?w=470\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-1004048647\" title=\"Jonathan Miller\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Jonathan-Miller2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004048647\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jonathan Miller<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u201cRecovery is definitely happening, and we\u2019re profiting from it,\u201d he declared, reflecting the sentiments of the more than 900 real estate investors, fund managers, developers, owners, lenders, brokers, advisors and consultants that participated in this year\u2019s survey. And it is now occurring across the board: While multi-family has been the favored sector for investment for the past three years, he noted, the other sectors are now all attracting attention, as well. That said, in-depth interviews with 300 of the respondents revealed lingering uncertainty beneath the surface.<\/p>\n<p>Among markets, the historical top cities remain in favor, although there was some surprising movement in how they ranked , based on investment, development and homebuilding prospects, according to Chuck DiRocco, director &amp; head of real estate research at PwC, who is a co-author &amp; production manager of the report. The biggest surprise was Washington, D.C.\u2019s drop in favor, with the nation\u2019s capital falling from the top spot down to No. 8 after three years leading the ranking. That shift in favor was revealed in a mid-year evaluation and has lingered into the more formal annual survey.<\/p>\n<p>Last year\u2019s second-place city, Austin, also dropped down, though it retained a respectable fourth-place listing, while formerly third-ranked San Francisco, continuing its return to strength, moved up to lead the ranking. Other top 10 cities included New York City, up to second place from fourth last year; San Jose, making waves with its move from seventh to third place; Houston, up from eighth to fifth; Boston, down only slightly, from fifth place to sixth; Seattle, now seventh (down from sixth last year); with Dallas-Fort Worth and Orange County, Calif., rounding out the list. Last year\u2019s ninth and tenth place cities, Los Angeles and San Diego, dropped down to 16<sup>th<\/sup> and 15<sup>th<\/sup> place, respectively.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004048644\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Chuck-DiRocco.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004048644\" data-attachment-id=\"1004048644\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\/chuck-dirocco\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Chuck-DiRocco.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"470,353\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Chuck DiRocco\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Chuck DiRocco&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Chuck-DiRocco.jpg?w=470\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-1004048644 \" title=\"Chuck DiRocco\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Chuck-DiRocco.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004048644\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Chuck DiRocco<\/p><\/div>\n<p>San Francisco made a particularly triumphant return because it won the \u201ctriple crown\u201d of first place in investment, development and homebuilding, DiRocco noted. But performance among major cities across the country was promising, with the average market score at its highest since the early 2000s and an increase in the number of cities getting a green light for \u201cgenerally good\u201d performance while five fewer markets got a red light for \u201cgenerally poor\u201d performance than last year. Even the long-suffering Midwest is not as \u201cred\u201d as it once was, he said.<\/p>\n<p>Another surprise was the rise in interest in secondary markets. \u201cThe major gateways have gotten too pricey for a lot of people,\u201d Miller observed, as cap rates have continued to plunge. Investors in secondary markets, however, need to link up with a local operator to succeed, he warned, as they are in the best position to make money. \u201cIt\u2019s a get-rich-slow (scenario), but you can make money,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Financiers also remain on the optimistic side, although they are not providing capital to everyone, according to Stephen Blank, senior fellow for finance at ULI and principal researcher &amp; advisor for <em>Emerging Trends<\/em>. Equity providers across the board will capitalize the \u201cusual suspects,\u201d the well-heeled investors with solid reputations, but with others, \u201cit\u2019s a search for yield,\u201d he said. The most confident investors include opportunity funds, REITs and foreign investors, while pension funds are taking a more cautious stance.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004048648\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Stephen-Blank.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004048648\" data-attachment-id=\"1004048648\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\/stephen-blank\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Stephen-Blank.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"470,353\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Stephen Blank\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Stephen Blank&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Stephen-Blank.jpg?w=470\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-1004048648\" title=\"Stephen Blank\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Stephen-Blank.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004048648\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stephen Blank<\/p><\/div>\n<p>On the debt side, too, the most solid investors and properties will be able to obtain what they need, but for less-advantaged properties, financiers have no problem continuing to extend and pretend. They expressed confidence the CMBS market is returning sufficiently to cover the looming debt maturities.<\/p>\n<p>Researchers\u2019 top tips:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Concentrate acquisitions in budding infill locations.<\/li>\n<li>Construct green office in 24-hour markets.<\/li>\n<li>Major hub distribution centers near ports and airports offer opportunity.<\/li>\n<li>Apartment development is leveling off.<\/li>\n<li>Single-family housing funds are worth pursuing, but with caution and only if they involve local operators.<\/li>\n<li>Pursue the big three \u201cre\u2019s\u201d: Repurpose obsolete properties, refinance and renovate. Recapitalize well-leased assets and lock in low interest rates while you can.<\/li>\n<li>Hold core properties in 24-hour cities.<\/li>\n<li>Buy or hold public REITs and non-performing loans.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Optimism permeated the Emerging Trends in Real Estate results this year, with respondents finding a marked improvement over last year. Researchers gave reporters a sneak peak Wednesday during the ULI Fall Meeting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":755,"featured_media":1004048647,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21782,21825,21783,11,13,21742,10,1615,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004048640","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-development","category-finance","category-investment","category-midatlantic","category-midwest","category-latest","category-northeast","category-washington-dc","category-west"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ULI Special Report: Emerging Trends Respondents Optimistic About Recovery - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ULI Special Report: Emerging Trends Respondents Optimistic About Recovery\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Optimism permeated the Emerging Trends in Real Estate results this year, with respondents finding a marked improvement over last year. Researchers gave reporters a sneak peak Wednesday during the ULI Fall Meeting.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Property Executive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-10-18T11:20:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-02-25T07:57:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/10\/Jonathan-Miller2.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"470\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"353\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Suzann D. Silverman\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/uli-special-report-emerging-trends-respondents-optimistic-about-recovery\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Suzann D. 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