{"id":1004039957,"date":"2012-04-06T04:20:10","date_gmt":"2012-04-06T12:20:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004038000"},"modified":"2022-12-09T01:47:27","modified_gmt":"2022-12-09T09:47:27","slug":"inaugural-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey-washington-gridlock-clouds-leaders-brightening-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/inaugural-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey-washington-gridlock-clouds-leaders-brightening-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Washington Gridlock Clouds Leaders&#8217; Brightening Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Paul Rosta, Senior Editor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/business-management\/results-of-the-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey\/\"><em>Click here for all of the survey results in graph form.<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Amid signs that the real estate industry is rebounding, policy gridlock in the nation\u2019s capital poses the biggest long-term threat to the real estate capital markets, according to the <em>CPE<\/em> 100 Quarterly Sentiment Survey. The findings emerged from the inaugural national poll of industry leaders by <em>Commercial Property Executive.<\/em><br \/>\n<a class=\"highslide\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/03\/CPE_TrendChart1_withQ.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004037966\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/cpe_trendchart6_withq-50x50\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/03\/CPE_TrendChart6_withQ-50x50.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"50,50\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"CPE_TrendChart6_withQ-50&#215;50\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/03\/CPE_TrendChart6_withQ-50x50.jpg?w=50\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-1004037966\" title=\"CPE_TrendChart1_withQ\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/03\/CPE_TrendChart1_withQ.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>More than half of the executives surveyed\u201452.6 percent\u2014named policy stalemates in Washington, D.C., as the number-one threat to the fragile recovery of the real estate capital markets.\u00a0 In fact, according to the survey results, real estate executives today are more worried about policy than about the economic challenges that have shaped business strategy for the past four years.\u00a0 Only 21 percent ranked economic issues\u2014such as employment trends, the housing market or consumer spending\u2014as the leading hazard to commercial real estate finance.<\/p>\n<p>And although worries about Europe\u2019s financial woes have not gone away, the European Union\u2019s recent actions appear to have eased concerns about a broader dislocation.\u00a0 Only 16 percent of executives picked the European debt crisis as the problem most likely to disrupt the real estate capital markets in the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur findings clearly demonstrate how a stalemate in Washington impacts the outlook on capital markets. Real estate, which is particularly exposed to changes in carried interest and capital gains rates, might have little time to prepare for the impending changes to the Tax Code,\u201d commented CPE associate editor Mike Ratliff, who manages <em>CPE<\/em>\u2019s research division. \u201cAlthough it is unlikely that any changes will occur before the 2012 election, the pace of change could quickly accelerate shortly afterward in light of the immediate need to tame the budget deficit.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Asked about access to capital, slightly less than half of the executives surveyed\u201445 percent\u2014said they expect that tapping into the real estate capital markets will be easier this year than it was last year. Meanwhile, half of those responding believe that the accessibility of the capital markets will be unchanged in 2012 compared to 2011.<\/p>\n<p>The view of the CMBS market was more guarded. Forty percent of respondents believe that it will take until 2014 for CMBS volume to return to the levels necessary for refinancing and new capital sourcing, and another 35 percent said that volume will not return to an optimum level before 2015. Only 10 percent believe that CMBS volume will catch up with demand as early as this year. Slightly more\u201415 percent\u2014predict that that volume will reach adequacy in 2013.<\/p>\n<p>The Quarterly Sentiment Survey also asks the CPE 100 for their impressions of the short-term prospects for the real estate industry and the economy. Responses were relatively upbeat. Nearly two-thirds\u201463 percent\u2014said that they expect general business conditions to be somewhat better three months from now than they are today. The remaining 37 percent said that conditions will be unchanged over that period.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps mindful of the lag time between economic indicators and real estate activities like leasing and development, a significantly smaller group\u201442 percent\u2014agrees that the commercial real estate market will be healthier three months from now. Fifty-eight percent believe that the market\u2019s health will maintain the status quo.\u00a0\u00a0 When it comes to the performance of their own businesses, executives were more optimistic.\u00a0 Fifty-three percent said their companies will be doing somewhat better in three months. Nearly half\u201447 percent\u2014expect the performance of their own businesses to remain unchanged.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amid signs that the real estate industry is rebounding, policy gridlock in the nation\u2019s capital poses the biggest long-term threat to the real estate capital markets, according to the <em>CPE<\/em> 100 Quarterly Sentiment Survey. The findings emerged from the inaugural national poll of industry leaders by <em>Commercial Property Executive.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1201,"featured_media":1004037331,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21825,37753,21783,21742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004039957","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","category-research-center-finance","category-investment","category-latest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Washington Gridlock Clouds Leaders&#039; Brightening Outlook - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/inaugural-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey-washington-gridlock-clouds-leaders-brightening-outlook\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Washington Gridlock Clouds Leaders&#039; Brightening Outlook\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Amid signs that the real estate industry is rebounding, policy gridlock in the nation\u2019s capital poses the biggest long-term threat to the real estate capital markets, according to the CPE 100 Quarterly Sentiment Survey. The findings emerged from the inaugural national poll of industry leaders by Commercial Property Executive.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/inaugural-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey-washington-gridlock-clouds-leaders-brightening-outlook\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Property Executive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-04-06T12:20:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-09T09:47:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2012\/03\/CPE_TrendChart1_withQ.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"432\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"328\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Nicholas Ziegler\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/inaugural-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey-washington-gridlock-clouds-leaders-brightening-outlook\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/inaugural-cpe-100-quarterly-sentiment-survey-washington-gridlock-clouds-leaders-brightening-outlook\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Nicholas Ziegler\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ff3a837f33daecfcf8978b405eaae20c\"},\"headline\":\"Washington Gridlock Clouds Leaders&#8217; 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