{"id":1004034881,"date":"2011-12-07T11:35:40","date_gmt":"2011-12-07T19:35:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004034881"},"modified":"2022-11-26T07:13:22","modified_gmt":"2022-11-26T15:13:22","slug":"despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/","title":{"rendered":"Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Merrie S. Frankel, <\/strong><br \/>\n<em>Vice President &amp; Senior Credit Officer, Moody\u2019s Investors Service<\/em><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004034882\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/retail-reits-improving-fundamentals-support-stable-credit-outlook-for-sector\/reit-merrie-frankel\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"140,150\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"REIT &#8211; Merrie Frankel\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg?w=140\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"REIT - Merrie Frankel\" width=\"140\" height=\"150\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-1004034882\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Real estate fundamentals for retail properties are stabilizing, which bodes well for the ratings of retail REITs. Moody\u2019s has a stable outlook on 17 of its 18 rated retail REITs and does not expect the investment-grade retail REITs to see material changes to their current ratings or rating outlooks over the next year.<\/p>\n<p>Moody\u2019s maintains a stable outlook on U.S. retailers and expects their net operating income to increase by 2 to 3 percent in 2012. Persistent unemployment combined with stock-market swings, a weak housing market, higher gas and food prices along with Washington politics will weigh on consumer confidence and spending. There is a significant bifurcation in performance among retailers. Retailers operating at both ends of the value spectrum \u2013 luxury merchants on one side and dollar stores, discounters and warehouse clubs on the other \u2013 are outperforming other segments such as apparel and supermarkets.<\/p>\n<p>Retail REITs tend to have properties that are above average in quality, many of which have long-term leases with solid occupancies supporting relatively stable cash flows.  \u201cB\u201d and \u201cC\u201d properties, in secondary and tertiary locations with weaker tenants, continue to feel the effects of the weakening economy more acutely than do their \u201cA\u201d counterparts. National retailers, however, are showing increased interest in leasing the \u201cB\u201d space and private investors have low-cost debt capital available to purchase these non-core properties.<\/p>\n<p>Although recent releasing spreads have been trending flat to positive, this trend may be poised to turn negative. Leases signed at the market peak in 2004-2007 may incur roll-downs when retailers sign renewals. Small businesses such as the mom-and-pop stores are still lagging, which impacts in-line store leasing and the ability to increase rents. The vacancy rates for malls rose to 9.4 percent and strip centers were flat at 11 percent during 3Q11, according to REIS Inc. A positive note is that fresh retail concepts are spurring new store openings as retailers exploit the opportunity to capture attractive stores in quality locations previously occupied by failed retailers. Also helpful is the dearth of new retail development, allowing landlords to lease presently vacant space and regain pricing power.<\/p>\n<p>Outlet centers performed well through the recession and are a growth-driver, prompting a number of REITs such as Taubman, Macerich, and CBL to explore this sub-sector. Both Simon (with Calloway REIT) and Tanger (with RioCan REIT) have entered joint ventures to build outlets in Canada, initially in Toronto, on acreage located approximately three miles apart. Although the U.S.-style outlet center has not existed in Canada to date, Canadians frequently cross the border to shop in the U.S. outlets.<\/p>\n<p>Most retail REITs are managing their balance sheets. Retail REITs rated by Moody\u2019s have maintained relatively stable leverage metrics due to robust equity issuances, cost containment and astute balance sheet management. <a class=\"highslide\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Leverage-Chart.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004034883\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/reit-leverage-chart\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Leverage-Chart.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"645,424\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"REIT &#8211; Leverage Chart\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Leverage-Chart.jpg?w=645\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Leverage-Chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"REIT - Leverage Chart\" width=\"300\" height=\"197\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-1004034883\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Leverage-Chart.jpg 645w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Leverage-Chart.jpg?resize=300,197 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>For Moody\u2019s rated retail REITs, average secured debt\/gross assets (24 percent at YTD 3Q11) and debt\/EBITDA (7.3x YTD 3Q11) declined, and fixed charge coverage increased to 2.3x at YTD 3Q11 due to improved earnings and decreased interest from refinancing partly due to unsecured bond issuances in 2011. <em>See adjacent graph.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Due to improved leasing, balance sheet management and liquidity, Moody\u2019s does not expect ratings and outlooks, at least for the investment-grade retail REITs, to see a material change in the next 12 to 18 months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><strong>By Merrie S. Frankel, <\/strong><em>Vice President &amp; Senior Credit Officer, Moody&#8217;s Investors Service<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Moody&#8217;s has a stable outlook on 17 of its 18 rated retail REITs and does not expect the investment-grade retail REITs to see material changes to their current ratings or rating outlooks over the next year, although there is a bifurcation among retailers. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1201,"featured_media":1004034882,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37301],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004034881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Merrie S. Frankel, Vice President &amp; Senior Credit Officer, Moody&#039;s Investors Service Moody&#039;s has a stable outlook on 17 of its 18 rated retail REITs and does not expect the investment-grade retail REITs to see material changes to their current ratings or rating outlooks over the next year, although there is a bifurcation among retailers.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Property Executive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-12-07T19:35:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-11-26T15:13:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"140\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"150\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Nicholas Ziegler\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Nicholas Ziegler\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/ff3a837f33daecfcf8978b405eaae20c\"},\"headline\":\"Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-12-07T19:35:40+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-11-26T15:13:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":565,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/46\\\/2011\\\/12\\\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\\\/\",\"name\":\"Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable - 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Frankel, Vice President &amp; Senior Credit Officer, Moody's Investors Service Moody's has a stable outlook on 17 of its 18 rated retail REITs and does not expect the investment-grade retail REITs to see material changes to their current ratings or rating outlooks over the next year, although there is a bifurcation among retailers.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/","og_site_name":"Commercial Property Executive","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive","article_published_time":"2011-12-07T19:35:40+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-11-26T15:13:22+00:00","og_image":[{"width":140,"height":150,"url":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Nicholas Ziegler","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@cpexecutive","twitter_site":"@cpexecutive","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/"},"author":{"name":"Nicholas Ziegler","@id":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/ff3a837f33daecfcf8978b405eaae20c"},"headline":"Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable","datePublished":"2011-12-07T19:35:40+00:00","dateModified":"2022-11-26T15:13:22+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/"},"wordCount":565,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/12\/REIT-Merrie-Frankel.jpg","inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/","url":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/despite-erratic-markets-retail-reit-fundamentals-stable\/","name":"Despite Erratic Markets, Retail REIT Fundamentals Stable - 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