{"id":1004027996,"date":"2011-03-23T05:10:27","date_gmt":"2011-03-23T13:10:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004027996"},"modified":"2022-12-09T01:19:47","modified_gmt":"2022-12-09T09:19:47","slug":"economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\/","title":{"rendered":"Economy Watch: Shiller, Buffett Opine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>March 23, 2011<br \/>\nBy Dees Stribling, Contributing Editor<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004027997\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a class=\"highslide\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004027997\" data-attachment-id=\"1004027997\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\/diana-parkhouse-two-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"500,333\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Diana Parkhouse, two\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Courtesy Flickr Creative Commons user Diana Parkhouse&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg?w=500\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"Diana Parkhouse, two\" width=\"300\" height=\"199\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1004027997\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg 500w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg?resize=300,200 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004027997\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Courtesy Flickr Creative Commons user Diana Parkhouse<\/p><\/div>\n<p>MacroMarkets L.L.C., the outfit run by Robert Shiller of Case-Shiller fame, said that the the results of its March 2011 Home Price Expectations Survey were downbeat indeed for 2011. Among other things, the survey asked how U.S. home values would do during this year, and the mean answer was 1.38 percent down.<\/p>\n<p>The survey was compiled from 111 responses by economists, real estate experts, investment and market strategists between March 1 and March 15. Though 2011 wasn&#8217;t expected to be a recovery of any kind for the housing market, the respondents did collectively think that prices would wax positive eventually, but not until 2013 at least.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMany more experts are now projecting a double-dip after witnessing the double-dead cat bounce that came in the wake of expired government stimulus programs,&#8221; Terry Loebs, MacroMarkets managing director, said in a statement. &#8220;In December, only 15 percent of our panelists were projecting that a new post-crash low would materialize for national home prices. Now, just three months later, almost 50 percent foresee a double-dip happening this year, and not a single panelist expects national home prices to recover to the pre-bubble trend in the coming five years.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>According to the latest numbers by the Federal Housing Finance Agency, that double-dip already seems to be under way. The agency said on Tuesday that U.S. home prices (counting properties guaranteed or owned by a GSE) dropped 0.3 percent in January compared with December, the fifth monthly drop in a row, and that year-over-year in January, prices declined 3.9 percent.<\/p>\n<p>But home prices were not down everywhere, at least month-over-month. In the agency&#8217;s West South Central division, which includes Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Texas, they were up 1.6 percent from December to January, though down 0.5 percent compared with a year ago.<\/p>\n<p>Buffett Sees Japanese Silver Lining<\/p>\n<p>On Monday in Daegu, South Korea, Warren Buffett commented on Japan&#8217;s ultimate resilience, comparing the current situation there to that of the United States after Sept. 11, 2001. The attacks &#8220;didn&#8217;t change the future of the US or the economic prospect of the US. People in Japan have the same energy, they have the same desire to move on and the same resources to rebuild.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The next day, the Nikkei 225 spiked 4.4 percent. Coincidence, or investors listening to the Oracle? Or maybe just bargain-hunting in anticipation of the mass clean-up ahead. Also on Tuesday, shares of Tokyo Electric Power, whose facilities include the Fukushima Daiichi, were up 16.8 percent. (Buffett further said that &#8220;frequently extraordinary events really create a buying opportunity.&#8221;)<\/p>\n<p>After a run of up days, Wall Street saw a downtick on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining 17.9 points, or 0.15 percent. The S&amp;P 500 lost 0.36 percent and the Nasdaq dropped 0.31 percent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MacroMarkets L.L.C., the outfit run by Robert Shiller of Case-Shiller fame, said that the the results of its March 2011 Home Price Expectations Survey were pessimistic indeed for 2011. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":936,"featured_media":1004027997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21808,21742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004027996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-latest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economy Watch: Shiller, Buffett Opine - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economy Watch: Shiller, Buffett Opine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"MacroMarkets L.L.C., the outfit run by Robert Shiller of Case-Shiller fame, said that the the results of its March 2011 Home Price Expectations Survey were pessimistic indeed for 2011.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Property Executive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-03-23T13:10:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-09T09:19:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2011\/03\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"333\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Allison Landa\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Allison Landa\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/0eb45390ae3124c14a919b7ec7bd2249\"},\"headline\":\"Economy Watch: Shiller, Buffett Opine\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-03-23T13:10:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-09T09:19:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":472,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/46\\\/2011\\\/03\\\/Diana-Parkhouse-two1.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Featured\",\"News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-shiller-downbeat-on-home-prices-buffett-sees-silver-lining-in-japan\\\/\",\"name\":\"Economy Watch: Shiller, Buffett Opine - 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