{"id":1004021680,"date":"2010-07-19T06:52:02","date_gmt":"2010-07-19T14:52:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004021680"},"modified":"2022-12-06T15:52:05","modified_gmt":"2022-12-06T23:52:05","slug":"economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\/","title":{"rendered":"Economy Watch: Deflation Around the Corner?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>July 19, 2010<br \/>\nBy Dees Stribling, Contributing Editor <\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004021681\" style=\"width: 201px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a class=\"highslide\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Beverly-Pack.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004021681\" data-attachment-id=\"1004021681\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\/beverly-pack-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Beverly-Pack.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"654,1024\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Beverly &#038; Pack\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Courtesy Flickr Creative Commons user Beverly &#038; Pack&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Beverly-Pack.jpg?w=654\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Beverly-Pack.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"Beverly &amp; Pack\" width=\"191\" height=\"300\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1004021681\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004021681\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Courtesy Flickr Creative Commons user Beverly &amp; Pack<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Consumer prices edged downward in June by 0.1 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, following a 0.2 percent decline in May. That raises the specter of deflation (again), which is the bogeyman du jour for some economists. Nouriel &#8220;Dr. Doom&#8221; Roubini has been beating that drum for some time, warning of the cleverly named &#8220;stag-deflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The June decline, however, was mainly because of falling gasoline prices, which few would argue is bad for the economy. The core CPI, which leaves out volatile energy and food prices, actually went up in June by 0.2 percent. &#8220;The index for energy decreased 2.9 percent in June, the same decline as in May, with a decline in the gasoline index accounting for most of the decrease,&#8221; noted the BLS in a statement on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>From the consumer&#8217;s point of view, other things continue to get more expensive, such as &#8220;a broad array of indexes posted increases, including shelter, apparel, used cars, medical care, tobacco and recreation,&#8221; noted the BLS. &#8220;These increases more than offset declines in the indexes for household furnishings and&#8230; for airline fares.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Consumers Feeling Pretty Grumpy<\/p>\n<p>The Reuters\/University of Michigan&#8217;s Consumer sentiment index dropped precipitously in its mid-July reading, down nearly 10 points to a 66.5. That&#8217;s roughly to the same level as the index was during much of 2009, which hints that consumers are very irritable indeed, or many just a touch panicky. Both the expectations and current-conditions components showed roughly 10 point drops.<\/p>\n<p>The drop is something of an enigma. Previously, drops of that magnitude were associated with dramatically bad events, such as the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Hurricane Katrina, and the September 11 attacks. The <i>Wall Street Journal<\/i> noted on Friday that the last time there was such a large a sentiment drop without a headline-grabbing bad event preceding it was in December 1980.<\/p>\n<p>What gives? Those who remember the late &#8217;70s and early &#8217;80s know that it was a pretty glum run of years. Consumers didn&#8217;t need any particular shocks to go sour in those days; and maybe it&#8217;s that way now.<\/p>\n<p>CRE Loans in CDOs See Delinquencies Rise in June<\/p>\n<p>According to Fitch Ratings on Friday, delinquencies on commercial real estate loans in collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) were up in June, with the rate increasing to 12.2 percent, compared with 11.6 percent in May. Realized losses fell, however, to $39.4 million in June, with the disposition or resolution of various troubled assets.<\/p>\n<p>All together, Fitch rates 35 commercial real estate CDOs that include roughly 1,100 loans and 350 securities. Asset managers repurchased $136.9 million worth of troubled assets in June, according to Fitch.<\/p>\n<p>Wall Street had been entirely too giddy during the last few weeks for it to last forever, and sure enough on Friday the Street took a considerable hit on weak corporate earnings and reports of consumer malaise. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 261.41 points, or 2.52 percent, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 2.88 percent and the Nasdaq declined 3.11 percent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Consumer prices edged downward in June by 0.1 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, following a 0.2 percent decline in May. That raises the specter of deflation (again), which is the bogeyman du jour for some economists. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":936,"featured_media":1004021681,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21808,21742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004021680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-latest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economy Watch: Deflation Around the Corner? - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Economy Watch: Deflation Around the Corner?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Consumer prices edged downward in June by 0.1 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, following a 0.2 percent decline in May. That raises the specter of deflation (again), which is the bogeyman du jour for some economists.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Commercial Property Executive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/CPExecutive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2010-07-19T14:52:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-06T23:52:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Beverly-Pack.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"654\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Allison Landa\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cpexecutive\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Allison Landa\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/0eb45390ae3124c14a919b7ec7bd2249\"},\"headline\":\"Economy Watch: Deflation Around the Corner?\",\"datePublished\":\"2010-07-19T14:52:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-06T23:52:05+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":515,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/46\\\/2010\\\/07\\\/Beverly-Pack.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Featured\",\"News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.commercialsearch.com\\\/news\\\/economy-watch-deflation-around-the-corner\\\/\",\"name\":\"Economy Watch: Deflation Around the Corner? 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