{"id":1004021499,"date":"2010-07-07T08:29:22","date_gmt":"2010-07-07T16:29:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004021499"},"modified":"2022-12-04T22:07:19","modified_gmt":"2022-12-05T06:07:19","slug":"positive-office-absorption-provides-ray-of-sunshine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/positive-office-absorption-provides-ray-of-sunshine\/","title":{"rendered":"Positive Office Absorption Provides Ray of Sunshine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Robert Bach, Senior Vice President, Grubb &amp; Ellis Co.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"highslide\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"1004021500\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/positive-office-absorption-provides-ray-of-sunshine\/bob-bach-2010-3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1779,2371\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Bob Bach 2010\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?w=768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"Bob Bach 2010\" width=\"225\" height=\"300\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-1004021500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg 1779w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=225,300 225w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=768,1024 768w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=1152,1536 1152w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=1537,2048 1537w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=150,200 150w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=300,400 300w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=696,928 696w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=1068,1423 1068w, https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/07\/Bob-Bach-2010.jpg?resize=315,420 315w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 225px) 100vw, 225px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Amidst the gathering gloom over the slowing economy and the rising odds of a double-dip recession, allow me to take a contrarian point of view insofar as the office leasing market is concerned. <\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m a bit reluctant to do this since commercial real estate data provider Reis just reported a slight 10 basis-point increase in the vacancy rate in the second quarter and continued negative absorption. Grubb &amp; Ellis will release its \u201cFirst Look\u201d email on the second quarter office market shortly, but we do have some preliminary data to share with you, and it leads me to suspect that the tone of the recent media coverage is overly negative. <\/p>\n<p>Before I give you the numbers, let me point out that data on vacancy rates, rental rates, absorption and other leasing market indicators come from a variety of sources, and for various reasons, they almost never match. Usually the discrepancies are small and the directional trends and interpretation of the data are consistent \u2013 but not always, and this may be one of those times. <\/p>\n<p>With a few offices yet to report, it appears that the vacancy rate as calculated by Grubb &amp; Ellis declined slightly by 10 basis points in the second quarter and absorption approached positive 5 million square feet. Rental rates continued to slide, but that is not unusual in the early stages of a leasing market recovery.  Greater Washington, DC absorbed more than 2.5 million square feet while Seattle contributed 1.2 million square feet as Amazon began moving into its newly completed campus in South Lake Union. Grubb\u2019s Seattle analyst reports that demand from smaller tenants in that market appears to have stabilized, and some are expanding. Thirty of the 55 markets reporting so far report positive absorption. <\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s possible that the slight decline in the vacancy rate could be revised as the data are finalized, but the preliminary absorption total is large enough that it should withstand the final revision. If so, it would break a string of eight consecutive quarters of negative absorption. It\u2019s also possible that this change in the trend could be a temporary plateau if the economic recovery continues to decelerate. But it says to me that tenants are confident enough in their own business prospects and have enough cash on hand to lock in some of the great deals on offer by landlords. And it also suggests that investors are right to be in the market now, before the recovery \u2013 in the economy and in the leasing markets \u2013 becomes obvious to everyone.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Greater Washington, DC absorbed more than 2.5 million square feet while Seattle contributed 1.2 million square feet as Amazon began moving into its newly completed campus in South Lake Union. Grubb &amp; Ellis&#8217; Seattle analyst reports that demand from smaller tenants in that market appears to have stabilized, and some are expanding. Thirty of the 55 markets reporting so far report positive absorption. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1234,"featured_media":1004021500,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37301],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004021499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Positive Office Absorption Provides Ray of Sunshine - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/positive-office-absorption-provides-ray-of-sunshine\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Positive Office Absorption Provides Ray of Sunshine\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Greater Washington, DC absorbed more than 2.5 million square feet while Seattle contributed 1.2 million square feet as Amazon began moving into its newly completed campus in South Lake Union. Grubb &amp; Ellis&#039; Seattle analyst reports that demand from smaller tenants in that market appears to have stabilized, and some are expanding. 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