{"id":1004018408,"date":"2010-03-17T07:52:19","date_gmt":"2010-03-17T15:52:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/?p=1004018408"},"modified":"2022-12-04T01:08:31","modified_gmt":"2022-12-04T09:08:31","slug":"awful-09-making-way-for-hopeful-10-ipd-conference-speakers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/awful-09-making-way-for-hopeful-10-ipd-conference-speakers\/","title":{"rendered":"Awful \u201909 Making Way for Hopeful \u201910: IPD Conference Speakers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>March 17, 2010<br \/>\nBy Paul Rosta, Senior Editor<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1004018409\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a class=\"highslide\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/03\/bfick.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1004018409\" data-attachment-id=\"1004018409\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/awful-09-making-way-for-hopeful-10-ipd-conference-speakers\/bfick\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/03\/bfick.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"500,375\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"bfick\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Courtesy Flickr Creative Commons user bfick&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/03\/bfick.jpg?w=500\" src=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/46\/2010\/03\/bfick.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"bfick\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-1004018409\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1004018409\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Courtesy Flickr Creative Commons user bfick<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The U.S. commercial real estate market turned in the worst performance on record in 2009, posting a return of -17.1 percent for the year, according to results of IPD\u2019s first U.S. annual index. IPD unveiled the findings and the index during a presentation Tuesday morning in Midtown Manhattan. <\/p>\n<p>IPD analyzed the performance of 49 funds representing 3,100 office, retail, industrial and multifamily assets, explained Simon Fairchild, IPD\u2019s managing director for North America. The -17.1 percent return reflects a -22.4 percent capital return slightly eased by a rare positive indicator\u2014a 6.6 return on income, Fairchild explained. In a year of steep declines, a few niches fared better than their general property sectors, such as super-regional malls and office properties in central business districts. <\/p>\n<p>Taking a snapshot of the global highlights, IDP co-founding director Ian Cullen cited the strong global links between gross domestic product and commercial real estate investment, and said that GDP improvement would be a harbinger of better returns. He noted that the United Kingdom scored a remarkable turnaround in 2001, following what he called an \u201cabsolutely dreadful\u201d -46 percent annualized decline the first half of the year with a 37 percent improvement in the second half.  <\/p>\n<p>In one provocative finding, Cullen asserted that a five-year study of U.K. trends suggests that \u201cLeverage does not, in normal circumstances, deliver excess performance.\u201d  Cullen also raised some eyebrows in the audience of several hundred with the conclusion that the global office market delivered the lowest returns at the highest volatility between 1998 and 2008. \u201cIt really doesn\u2019t matter where you are, you shouldn\u2019t invest in office,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Other speakers offered a cautiously offered a cautiously optimistic outlook on the U.S. economy and the prospects for commercial real estate investment this year. \u201cThe good news is we\u2019re in a recovery,\u201d said Beth Ann Bovino, a senior economist for Standard &amp; Poor\u2019s, during an economic overview that opened the session.  \u201cThe bad news is, it\u2019s going to be a slow and uneven one.\u201d  One culprit is non-residential construction, which Bovino called \u201cthe weak link\u201d of the economy. Regarding interest rates, Bovino speculated that the Federal Reserve could raise the federal funds rate before the end of the year but will probably wait for more improvement in the job market. <\/p>\n<p>During the panel discussion that concluded the presentation, the panel\u2019s moderator, IPD senior advisor Wylie Greig, cited evidence that cap rates are finally starting to inch downward. Cate Polleys, a principal with EnnisKnupp, predicted that the commercial real estate market recovery will proceed \u201cby fits and starts.\u201d And <\/p>\n<p>Mark Roberts, global director of real estate research for Invesco, quipped that his company has already had first-hand experience with that phenomenon. Improvement by fits and starts, he explained, is \u201cthinking you\u2019re bidding on an off-market deal, then turning around and finding that there are 26 other bidders on the same property.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. commercial real estate market turned in the worst performance on record in 2009, posting a return of -17.1 percent for the year, according to results of IPD\u2019s first U.S. annual index. IPD unveiled the findings and the index during a presentation Tuesday morning in Midtown Manhattan. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":936,"featured_media":1004018409,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21825,21742],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1004018408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","category-latest"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Awful \u201909 Making Way for Hopeful \u201910: IPD Conference Speakers - Commercial Property Executive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.commercialsearch.com\/news\/awful-09-making-way-for-hopeful-10-ipd-conference-speakers\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Awful \u201909 Making Way for Hopeful \u201910: IPD Conference Speakers\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The U.S. commercial real estate market turned in the worst performance on record in 2009, posting a return of -17.1 percent for the year, according to results of IPD\u2019s first U.S. annual index. 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